Bank of America Tops Earnings Estimates as Trading Revenue Surges Despite Investment Banking Slump
SHARE
Bank of America Tops Earnings Estimates as Trading Revenue Surges Despite Investment Banking Slump

Bank of America Corporation (BAC), one of the world’s largest financial institutions, has reported robust second-quarter 2025 earnings, reflecting resilience across its core business segments amidst shifting sector headwinds and ongoing global economic uncertainties.

With a vast network extending across much of the United States, Bank of America has leveraged recent acquisitions to solidify its position among the leading U.S. retail and commercial banks. The company faces key risks tied to trends in consumer interest rates, income, and borrowing patterns, but according to analyst reports, analysts specialized in large global and regional banks continue to cover the firm closely. Notably, the lead analyst on the latest coverage, a recognized expert in banking equities with prior experience as global director of equity research at a major firm and a background in economics, has highlighted Bank of America’s steadfast performance in an uncertain macroeconomic environment.

Second-Quarter Financial Results

For the quarter ending June 2025, Bank of America delivered a net income of $7.1 billion—up 3% from the prior year and ahead of consensus estimates of $6.8 billion. Total revenues climbed 4% year-over-year to $26.5 billion, just shy of analyst forecasts. The bank’s retail banking segment in particular saw a 6% rise in revenues to $10.8 billion, a boost attributed to higher net interest income. Trading revenues jumped 14% to $5.3 billion amid continued market volatility driven by geopolitical developments and U.S. tariffs.

However, the investment banking arm experienced a downturn, with fees slipping from $1.6 billion to $1.4 billion, falling behind rivals including Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and JPMorgan Chase. Bank of America CFO Alastair Borthwick attributed this largely to a focus on smaller M&A deals during the period, but he expressed optimism for stronger activity later in the year. Credit quality remained stable, with charge-offs in the corporate and investment bank declining by 12% year over year. Following the earnings announcement, Bank of America shares saw a 1% uptick in pre-market trading. (Read more)

Analyst Ratings and Share Performance

Bank of America stock is currently listed at $46.03 per share as of July 17, 2025—a marginal 0.15% decline from the previous session. Despite a mixed short-term view among market analysts, the broader consensus remains optimistic. Out of 20 analysts, the average rating is “Buy” with a price target of $48.78, indicating an estimated upside of 5.7%. (Analyst ratings summary)

On June 27, Baird analyst David George downgraded the stock to “Neutral” from “Outperform” and maintained a $52 price target, citing a less compelling risk/reward dynamic despite acknowledging favorable conditions for net interest margins. (Baird analysis) In contrast, Citi analyst Keith Horowitz, one day earlier, raised Bank of America’s price target from $50 to $54 and reiterated a “Buy” rating, citing expectations for resilient net interest income and stable forward guidance. (Citi view)

Industry Trends and Sector Performance

The broader U.S. banking sector is forecasted to post higher profits for the second quarter driven by a recovery in trading revenues, which have benefited from ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges. A modest rebound in investment banking and M&A activity has also buoyed results, particularly after a two-decade low in dealmaking earlier this year. Most large financial institutions are expected to outperform consensus earnings projections. (See sector outlook)

Nevertheless, the investment banking sector is still contending with its longest slump in over a decade, now making up less than a quarter of Wall Street’s revenue for fourteen straight quarters. For the second quarter, trading revenue across major banks is anticipated to reach $31 billion, far outpacing the $7.5 billion estimated for investment banking, reflecting ongoing strength in trading as heightened volatility persists. (Further analysis)

Outlook and Strategic Considerations

Amidst these trends, Bank of America lead strategist Savita Subramanian has revised her previously cautious assessment regarding the resilience of U.S. corporates in the wake of April tariff uncertainties. While recognizing the tenacity of American businesses, Subramanian advises caution due to expectations of stagflation—a period characterized by both slow economic growth and persistent inflation, reminiscent of the 1970s. Though her outlook for near-term market performance, particularly for the S&P 500, has cooled, Bank of America’s disciplined approach and fundamental strength continue to be underscored by analyst reports.

Overall, while Bank of America faces challenges common to the U.S. banking sector, it has navigated the current environment with notable earnings growth and stable credit quality. The consensus among financial analysts suggests that BAC remains an attractive investment, buoyed by its diversified business model and stable fundamentals in the midst of a turbulent economic backdrop.